Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.025562 0.029698 0.034253 0.039638 0.045825 0.052706 0.060934
2025-11-23 0.019252 0.024601 0.031034 0.039322 0.049697 0.062234 0.078512
2025-11-30 0.016050 0.022260 0.030313 0.041475 0.056495 0.075950 0.102998
2025-12-07 0.013098 0.019541 0.028474 0.041682 0.060618 0.086671 0.125104
2025-12-14 0.010518 0.016769 0.025977 0.040407 0.062301 0.094090 0.143508
2025-12-21 0.008794 0.014891 0.024376 0.040037 0.065036 0.103112 0.165120
2025-12-28 0.007971 0.014244 0.024491 0.042214 0.071800 0.118799 0.198517
2026-01-04 0.007108 0.013361 0.024053 0.043366 0.076979 0.132495 0.230262
2026-01-11 0.006021 0.011891 0.022385 0.042150 0.077958 0.139352 0.251430
2026-01-18 0.005242 0.010844 0.021282 0.041726 0.080172 0.148409 0.277177
2026-01-25 0.004504 0.009745 0.019911 0.040587 0.080886 0.154820 0.298818
2026-02-01 0.003923 0.008859 0.018808 0.039781 0.082067 0.162104 0.322697
2026-02-08 0.003493 0.008229 0.018142 0.039786 0.084894 0.172912 0.354703
2026-02-15 0.003029 0.007447 0.017050 0.038765 0.085538 0.179603 0.379526
2026-02-22 0.002853 0.007288 0.017258 0.040522 0.092124 0.198717 0.431085
2026-03-01 0.002567 0.006818 0.016710 0.040541 0.095001 0.210592 0.469110
2026-03-08 0.002228 0.006159 0.015635 0.039210 0.094733 0.215846 0.493779
2026-03-15 0.001991 0.005716 0.014998 0.038806 0.096490 0.225585 0.529063
2026-03-22 0.001917 0.005692 0.015376 0.040896 0.104281 0.249359 0.597672
2026-03-29 0.001797 0.005521 0.015360 0.042002 0.109855 0.268705 0.658229
2026-04-05 0.001584 0.005046 0.014491 0.040816 0.109677 0.274801 0.688892
2026-04-12 0.001429 0.004713 0.013947 0.040403 0.111374 0.285455 0.731330
2026-04-19 0.001265 0.004322 0.013186 0.039297 0.111148 0.291448 0.763143